Narrative Web
S3E17
· Stirred

Staff Debates Ditching Hoynes as Texas Electoral Math Collapses

In the Roosevelt Room, Toby aggressively challenges the team's electoral projections, recalling past reliance on Hoynes for Texas. Josh reveals Bruno's dire analysis: Hoynes fails to deliver Texas against Ritchie, costing Florida and a third of needed votes, forcing a sweep of Northeast, Pacific Coast, and industrial Northwest. C.J. questions viability, but Josh floats Fitzwallace as replacement, drawing Toby's nod amid rising tension. Leo interrupts, pulling Josh aside, escalating internal divisions and underscoring desperate political calculus post-Idaho crash—a pivotal turning point exposing loyalty fractures.

Plot Beats

The narrative micro-steps within this event

5

Toby challenges the group to explain how the electoral math has changed since they previously believed Hoynes would secure Texas, highlighting the sudden shift in strategy.

confidence to doubt

Josh reveals Bruno's grim assessment that Hoynes no longer guarantees Texas, and losing Texas would mean losing Florida, drastically altering the electoral landscape.

concern to urgency

C.J. questions the logic of changing the ticket if no one can secure Texas, prompting Toby to express frustration over the premature discussion of new candidates.

confusion to frustration

Josh clarifies that Bruno is merely advocating for a discussion, not a decision, while Toby and others push for concrete answers about potential replacements.

defensiveness to curiosity

Josh reveals Bruno's suggestion of Fitzwallace as a potential replacement, sparking immediate reactions before Leo enters and pulls Josh aside.

shock to interruption

Who Was There

Characters present in this moment

10
Josh Lyman
primary

Defensive urgency masking strategic anxiety over electoral collapse

Josh defends the discussion's confidentiality, reveals Bruno's dire analysis on losing Texas and Florida without Hoynes' pull against Ritchie, clarifies need to sweep alternative regions, proposes Fitzwallace explicitly, then exits with Leo into hallway and office for private talk.

Goals in this moment
  • Clarify Bruno's projections to justify VP debate
  • Advocate Fitzwallace as viable replacement without committing
Active beliefs
  • Hoynes' weakness against Ritchie is data-proven fatal
  • Fitzwallace can offset losses in key battlegrounds
Character traits
Defensive Analytical Pragmatic Evasive
Follow Josh Lyman's journey
Doug
primary

Focused determination

Doug referenced alongside Bruno as advocating the open discussion on VP changes, his tandem polling influence amplifying pressure on Hoynes' electoral drag without direct presence.

Goals in this moment
  • Sustain momentum for candid VP purge talk
  • Bolster data push for alternatives
Active beliefs
  • Hoynes undermines key regions
  • Structured debate yields better strategy
Character traits
Collaborative Persistent
Follow Doug's journey

Absent but hauntingly precarious

Hoynes positioned as electoral liability in debate, his failure to deliver Texas against Ritchie cited as costing Florida and forcing impossible sweeps, prompting replacement talks.

Goals in this moment
  • N/A (not present)
  • N/A (not present)
Active beliefs
  • N/A (not present)
  • N/A (not present)
Character traits
Vulnerable Indispensable yet flawed
Follow John Hoynes's journey
C.J. Cregg
primary

concerned

questions who can win Texas, viability of ticket without Texas, presses for specifics on replacement candidate

Goals in this moment
  • assess necessity of changing the VP ticket
Character traits
resilient strategic poised terse dutiful
Follow C.J. Cregg's journey

Skeptical frustration veiling deeper unease at shifting loyalties

Toby aggressively challenges the group's rapid pivot from Hoynes, recalling past reliance on him for Texas victory, interrupts CJ to decry discussing new candidates after just a minute, and nods approval at Josh's Fitzwallace proposal, dominating the skeptical interrogation from his seat.

Goals in this moment
  • Expose inconsistencies in electoral strategy shift
  • Slow premature advocacy for dumping Hoynes
Active beliefs
  • Past projections on Hoynes' Texas strength were reliable
  • Rash candidate swaps risk more harm than calculated change
Character traits
Skeptical Aggressive Cynical Persistent
Follow Toby Ziegler's journey
Bruno
primary

Detached analytical certainty

Bruno's electoral analysis anchors the debate, invoked by Josh as source of grim Texas/Florida projections against Ritchie and rationale for sweeping other regions, with his call for discussion and Fitzwallace suggestion fueling the room's tension remotely.

Goals in this moment
  • Drive realistic VP viability assessment
  • Force consideration of bold replacements like Fitzwallace
Active beliefs
  • Hoynes' Texas lock is illusory post-Ritchie
  • Regional sweeps demand superior running mate
Character traits
Data-driven Ruthless Strategic
Follow Bruno's journey

Commanding resolve concealing concern over internal divisions

Leo enters abruptly, singles out Josh with a curt 'Josh,' escorts him from Roosevelt Room through hallway to his office, probes the meeting's progress, then instructs to 'get creative' and foster bold thinking before planning solo re-entry.

Goals in this moment
  • Assess meeting dynamics privately with Josh
  • Push for innovative VP replacement ideas
Active beliefs
  • Loyalty to Hoynes must be tested against electoral reality
  • Creative disruption is essential for survival
Character traits
Authoritative Decisive Paternal Strategic
Follow Leo McGarry's journey

N/A (not present)

Fitzwallace emerges as Josh's pitched replacement per Bruno, endorsed by Toby, positioned to bolster Northeast, Pacific, and Northwest sweeps against Hoynes' deficits.

Goals in this moment
  • N/A (not present)
  • N/A (not present)
Active beliefs
  • N/A (not present)
  • N/A (not present)
Character traits
Heroic Strategic asset
Follow Fitzwallace's journey

N/A (not present)

Ritchie invoked as Republican nominee wrenching Texas from Hoynes, reason for Democrats' losses and strategic peril, underscoring GOP's calculated disruption.

Goals in this moment
  • N/A (not present)
  • N/A (not present)
Active beliefs
  • N/A (not present)
  • N/A (not present)
Character traits
Formidable Disruptive
Follow Rob Ritchie's journey
Supporting 1

inquisitive

inquires if Hoynes hurts chances in Northeast, Pacific Coast, and industrial Northwest

Goals in this moment
  • probe impact of Hoynes on key regions
Follow Unnamed State …'s journey

Location Details

Places and their significance in this event

1
Roosevelt Room (Mural Room — West Wing meeting room)

The Roosevelt Room serves as crucible for senior staff's high-stakes electoral dissection, where Toby's challenges, Josh's revelations, and nascent Fitzwallace pitch unfold amid packed tension, interrupted by Leo's entrance, symbolizing White House power's raw political calculus.

Atmosphere Charged with skepticism and urgency, fluorescent-lit late-night frenzy pulsing with interrupted debates.
Function Venue for confidential strategy huddle on VP viability.
Symbolism Embodies fracturing Democratic unity and desperate reelection brinkmanship.
Access Restricted to handpicked leak-proof advisors per Leo.
Nighttime setting amplifying isolation Polished table fostering confrontational exchanges

Organizations Involved

Institutional presence and influence

1
Republicans

Republicans loom as existential threat via Ritchie's nomination, cited by Josh as eroding Hoynes' Texas hold and risking Florida, forcing Democrats into radical regional sweeps and VP rethink in this pivotal strategy session.

Representation Through nomination of Ritchie as presidential candidate.
Power Dynamics Exerting disruptive leverage by poaching key states from Democratic column.
Impact Heightens partisan warfare, compelling White House to confront running-mate obsolescence.
Exploit Hoynes' vulnerabilities to seize Texas and Florida Elevate Ritchie to fracture Bartlet ticket Strategic candidate selection targeting weaknesses Electoral math manipulation via state dominance

Narrative Connections

How this event relates to others in the story

What led here 1
Escalation medium

"Toby's challenge about the electoral math escalates into Josh's grim assessment of losing Texas and Florida with Hoynes on the ticket, deepening the political crisis."

Leo Pulls Josh Aside to Demand Creative VP Solutions
S3E17 · Stirred
What this causes 1
Escalation medium

"Toby's challenge about the electoral math escalates into Josh's grim assessment of losing Texas and Florida with Hoynes on the ticket, deepening the political crisis."

Leo Pulls Josh Aside to Demand Creative VP Solutions
S3E17 · Stirred

Themes This Exemplifies

Thematic resonance and meaning

Key Dialogue

"TOBY: "How has the math changed?""
"JOSH: "Bruno doesn't think that Hoynes buys us Texas with Ritchie in the race. If we loose Texas this time, we loose Florida this time, that's a third of the electoral votes we need to win.""
"JOSH: "Fitzwallace. He said Fitzwallace, Toby.""