Fabula
S2E21 · Peak Performance

Data's Recursion — Troi Reframes Riker

In the Observation Lounge Data delivers a cold, statistical profile of Riker — ‘only 21%’ of his moves follow conventional tactics — then descends into recursive hypotheticals about anticipating anticipation. Troi stops the analytic spiral by refusing to turn Riker into a logic problem: she reframes the issue as character, not calculus. Their exchange forces Data to wrestle with moral judgment versus empirical certainty, dissolving paralysis and turning speculation into a pragmatic, human-centered choice that propels action.

Plot Beats

The narrative micro-steps within this event

2

Data cites Riker’s Academy and Potemkin exploits to mark a pattern of unconventional gambits, then locks it to a number: only twenty-one percent traditional tactics. Troi presses for the takeaway and Data delivers the quantified conclusion.

neutral analysis to quantified clarity

Data paces and warns the captain must brace for extreme cunning, then spirals into a recursive loop—he knows that we know that he knows—about Riker adapting to their analysis. Troi cuts through with a hard check on over-analysis, pivoting the frame toward human nature.

clarity to recursive doubt

Who Was There

Characters present in this moment

2

Clinically curious but unsettled — outwardly dispassionate while revealing a subtle anxiety about unpredictability and the limits of computation.

Data stands and paces while delivering a statistical profile of Riker's tactics, then articulates recursive hypotheticals about mutual anticipation, exposing limits in purely logical prediction while seeking a definitive command posture.

Goals in this moment
  • Provide the captain (via counsel) with an actionable, predictive assessment of Riker's likely tactics.
  • Reduce Riker's behavior to analyzable probabilities so command can anticipate and prepare.
  • Resolve uncertainty by modeling higher-order anticipatory scenarios to recommend a course of action.
Active beliefs
  • Human behavior can be meaningfully approximated by statistical patterns.
  • Anticipating an opponent requires modeling their anticipation of us (recursive reasoning).
  • Command decisions should be informed by rational, probabilistic assessment rather than anecdote alone.
Character traits
hyper-analytical recursive thinker procedural unsettled beneath clinical veneer
Follow Data's journey

Patient and slightly firm — mildly exasperated with over-analysis but composed, using empathy and moral clarity to steer the conversation back to human reality.

Troi listens, challenges Data's abstract extrapolations, reframes the question to focus on Riker's character, interrupts the analytic spiral, and exits having anchored the assessment in human qualities rather than pure calculus.

Goals in this moment
  • Prevent analytical paralysis by reframing the tactical question in human terms.
  • Ensure command considers character and moral implications when preparing for Riker's unpredictability.
  • Protect the crew from being reduced to abstractions that could impede decisive action.
Active beliefs
  • Human nature and character often override purely logical predictions.
  • Knowing a person's character is crucial to predicting their behavior.
  • Over-analysis can paralyze command and must be tempered with human judgment.
Character traits
empathetic decisive clear-eyed corrective
Follow Deanna Troi's journey

Objects Involved

Significant items in this scene

2
Potemkin (Starfleet Vessel)

The Potemkin is referenced as a real-world precedent where Riker disabled power and used a planet's magnetic pole to confuse sensors — an illustrative object of prior tactic that anchors Data's statistical claim.

Before: Exists as an off-stage historical record of Riker's …
After: Remains a cited precedent; its tactical implications are …
Before: Exists as an off-stage historical record of Riker's past actions; not physically present.
After: Remains a cited precedent; its tactical implications are acknowledged but ultimately reframed by Troi's focus on Riker's character rather than tactical replication.
Tholian Vessel

The Tholian vessel is cited by Data as a concrete past example demonstrating Riker's tactical cleverness (a sensory blind spot exploited during an Academy simulation). It functions as evidence supporting a probabilistic assessment of Riker's unconventional options.

Before: Referenced only as a past simulation datum in …
After: Remains an off-stage historical example; its evidentiary weight …
Before: Referenced only as a past simulation datum in Data's memory/analysis; no physical presence onstage.
After: Remains an off-stage historical example; its evidentiary weight is considered and then subsumed by Troi's emphasis on character.

Location Details

Places and their significance in this event

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Observation Lounge (USS Enterprise-D)

The Observation Lounge serves as the private, quiet setting where senior staff candidly dissect tactical and psychological matters. Its relative privacy allows Data to lay out cold analytics and Troi to intervene with intimate, human-focused counsel without public pressure.

Atmosphere Quiet, watchful, and tension-tinged — conducive to clinical analysis but receptive to empathetic correction.
Function Meeting point for confidential strategic and psychological counsel between senior officers (Data and Troi).
Symbolism Represents the bridge between empirical command reasoning and humanistic counseling — a space where calculation …
Access Informal but typically occupied by senior staff; effectively private for officer-level consultation.
Soft lighting from observation windows Plush seating enabling intimate conversation Low mechanical hum of the ship underscoring sterile calm

Narrative Connections

How this event relates to others in the story

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Key Dialogue

"DATA: Only twenty-one percent of the time does he rely upon traditional tactics."
"DATA: But knowing that we know that he knows that we know he might choose to return to his usual pattern."
"TROI: You'll have to decide that for yourself."