Fabula
S3E7 · The Indians in the Lobby

Sam Reveals OMB Poverty Spike; Toby Demands Probe

Toby spots anxiously pacing Sam outside his office and draws him in with wry banter. Sam discloses the OMB's impending new poverty formula, raising the threshold from $17,524 to $20,000 and instantly adding 4 million 'new poor'—a political bombshell on the President's watch. Toby, alarmed by the optics disaster, rejects Sam's defense of statistical neutrality and orders an immediate OMB investigation into the old formula's flaws, analogizing it to retroactive SAT score drops that made him 'dumber' post-college. This revelation ignites a ticking crisis subplot, exposing tensions between data integrity and electoral vulnerability amid holiday pressures.

Plot Beats

The narrative micro-steps within this event

4

Toby notices Sam pacing outside his office and humorously questions if Sam is guarding it, establishing their banter.

neutral to amusement ["Toby's office"]

Sam enters Toby's office and drops a bombshell: the OMB's new poverty formula will statistically increase poverty by 4 million people overnight.

amusement to alarm

Toby demands immediate investigation into the formula change, recognizing its political fallout potential.

alarm to urgency

Toby uses a personal analogy about SAT score changes to emphasize the absurdity while reinforcing his directive to Sam.

urgency to resignation

Who Was There

Characters present in this moment

3

Anxious urgency tempered by defensive rationalism

Paces taut circuits outside Toby's glass door gripping OMB paper, chuckles defensively at banter before entering, discloses formula details raising threshold to $20,000 and adding 4 million poor, defends as pre-existing reality not political spin, agrees readily to probe old formula and heads out to execute orders.

Goals in this moment
  • Brief Toby on OMB's politically explosive poverty revision
  • Advocate for data's neutrality amid Toby's skepticism
Active beliefs
  • Statistical updates reflect reality, not partisan manipulation
  • Old formula potentially outdated, warranting investigation
Character traits
anxiously restless defensively idealistic pragmatically compliant awkwardly charming
Follow Sam Seaborn's journey

Alarmed outrage masking incisive political calculus

Sits at cluttered desk deeply absorbed in newspaper, glances up to spot pacing Sam outside glass door, delivers wry banter to draw him in, reacts with sharp alarm to poverty spike revelation, rejects statistical neutrality defense, issues curt orders for OMB probe into old formula flaws, caps with sarcastic SAT analogy underscoring political peril.

Goals in this moment
  • Mitigate immediate political damage from poverty stats optics
  • Launch probe to undermine validity of new OMB formula
Active beliefs
  • Formula changes create damaging perceptions of failure under Bartlet
  • Old metrics likely flawed, offering leverage for counterattack
Character traits
wryly humorous alarmingly reactive commandingly authoritative sarcastic pragmatist
Follow Toby Ziegler's journey

Objects Involved

Significant items in this scene

2
Sam's OMB Poverty Formula Paper

Sam white-knuckles the stark OMB document while pacing urgently outside, brandishing it implicitly as he enters and details the threshold hike to $20,000 adding 4 million poor; serves as narrative catalyst, live wire sparking Toby's alarm and orders, embodying the statistical flashpoint clashing data purity against electoral peril.

Before: Clutched tightly in Sam's hand during anxious pacing …
After: Retained by Sam as he exits office to …
Before: Clutched tightly in Sam's hand during anxious pacing outside Toby's door.
After: Retained by Sam as he exits office to pursue investigation.
Toby's Newspaper

Toby hunches over the crinkling newspaper at his desk in solitary focus, using it as a visual anchor for his initial absorption and pauses; he looks up from its pages twice to notice Sam's pacing, transitioning from mundane routine to crisis mode, symbolizing brief normalcy shattered by policy bombshell.

Before: Spread open on Toby's desk, actively being read …
After: Set aside momentarily on desk as discussion intensifies, …
Before: Spread open on Toby's desk, actively being read in quiet office.
After: Set aside momentarily on desk as discussion intensifies, then returned to.

Narrative Connections

How this event relates to others in the story

What this causes 1
Thematic Parallel medium

"Sam's revelation about the OMB's new poverty formula parallels Bernice's defense of the formula's accuracy, both highlighting the tension between statistical truth and political optics."

Sam Grills Bernice on Poverty Formula's Outdated Polish Roots
S3E7 · The Indians in the Lobby

Part of Larger Arcs

Key Dialogue

"SAM: Under the new formula, poverty is up two percent... Four million new poor people."
"TOBY: Four million?!? ... Four million people became poor on the President's watch?"
"SAM: They didn't become poor. They were poor already. And now we're calling them poor."
"TOBY: It's like when they did that thing with the SAT scores and I got dumber twenty years after I went to college."